CMA Nominations 2013: Predictions and Speculation

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Can you believe the CMA Awards are only a few short months away? As the color begins to fade from the trees, it's time to break out the thinking caps and conjure up hopeful predictions for Country Music's Biggest Night.

On Tuesday, Sept. 10, this year’s nominations will be unveiled by Sheryl Crow and Florida Georgia Line live from New York City. Ahead of the announcement, I thought I would take a stab at predicting who will earn some deserved (or not-so-deserved) nods. This is simply based on sales and which way the winds are blowing — definitely not founded on any artistic merits, per se.

Side note: I'll be live on scene in NYC on Tuesday, so look out for my coverage.


Entertainer of the Year

Luke Bryan

Blake Shelton

Taylor Swift

Carrie Underwood

Jason Aldean

 

(I honestly think the voters will finally give Carrie her credit here.)

Female Vocalist of the Year

Miranda Lambert

Taylor Swift

Carrie Underwood

Kacey Musgraves

Kelly Clarkson

 

(Yes, not much is going to change with this category.)

Male Vocalist of the Year

Luke Bryan

Blake Shelton

Jason Aldean

Brad Paisley

Eric Church

(I wouldn’t be surprised if Hunter Hayes and/or Tim McGraw sneak their way into this category. This year, plenty of guys have had blockbuster success, so this is wide open.)

Album of the Year

Kacey Musgraves, ‘Same Trailer Different Park’

Little Big Town, ‘Tornado’

Florida Georgia Line, ‘Here’s to the Good Times’

Taylor Swift, ‘Red’

Blake Shelton, ‘Based On A True Story…’

(If critics have their way, Kacey has this sewn up. I’m pretty OK with that, if that happens. On another note, The Band Perry’s ‘Pioneer’ and Jason Aldean's 'Night Train' could slip in here, too.)

Vocal Group of the Year

Little Big Town

The Band Perry

Lady Antebellum

Rascal Flatts

Eli Young Band

(It’ll be a battle between Little Big Town and The Band Perry, for sure.)

Vocal Duo of the Year

Florida Georgia Line

The Civil Wars

Love & Theft

Thompson Square

Big & Rich

(I mean, can we give Florida Georigia Line the crystal statuette already?!)

Song of the Year

Lee Brice, ‘I Drive Your Truck’

Miranda Lambert, ‘Mama’s Broken Heart’

Gary Allan, ‘Every Storm (Runs Out of Rain)’

Darius Rucker, ‘Wagon Wheel’

Carrie Underwood, ‘Blown Away’

(Usually, this category tends to go to the more ‘emotional’ or ‘meaningful’ songs. Lee Brice has the advantage here. Carrie could very well sweep in, though. It should be noted this award goes to the songwriters, not the performers. The Band Perry's "Better Dig Two" has a chance to squeeze in here.)

Single of the Year

Florida Georgia Line, ‘Cruise’

Hunter Hayes, 'Wanted'

The Band Perry, ‘Better Dig Two’

Darius Rucker, ‘Wagon Wheel’

Carrie Underwood, ‘Blown Away’

(If anyone other than FGL snags this, I’ll be shocked. Blake Shelton's "Boys Round Here" has a chance to squeeze in.)

Music Video of the Year

Taylor Swift, ‘We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together’

Miranda Lambert, ‘Mama’s Broken Heart’

Kacey Musgraves, ‘Merry Go ‘Round’

Blake Shelton, ‘Boys Round Here’

Tim McGraw, ‘One Of Those Nights’

 

(Carrie Underwood's "Two Black Cadillacs" deserves a nod here, or even her "Blown Away." Both are quite cinematic and very different from the rest.)

 

Musical Event of the Year

Blake Shelton, ‘Boys Round Here’ (featuring Pistol Annies)

Jason Aldean, Luke Bryan, Eric Church, ‘The Only Way I Know’

Florida Georgia Line, ‘Cruise’ (featuring Nelly)

Tim McGraw, Taylor Swift, Keith Urban, ‘Highway Don’t Care’

 

(This category is as wide open as they come. Any one of these could win.)

New Artist of the Year

Kacey Musgraves

Florida Georgia Line

Brett Eldredge

Lee Brice

Love & Theft

(Yes. FGL has this one, too.)

 

In conclusion, FGL will sweep this year, at least in Single, Duo and New Artist. There are plenty of other awards they could take home, too. With the Female Vocalist category still stagnant, will Carrie finally take back the crown? Or will the voters continue to shower Miranda? Also, who will win Entertainer?

 

Photo: CMA World

What do you think of my predictions? What are yours? Let me know your thoughts on Twitter. Also, feel free to email me to keep the conversation going.

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